Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.632424 0.717333 0.807941 0.911659 1.026932 1.150941 1.294269
2025-08-24 0.511334 0.631224 0.768639 0.937080 1.137225 1.366641 1.648668
2025-08-31 0.412171 0.550524 0.719893 0.940771 1.219293 1.556760 1.994259
2025-09-07 0.346171 0.497171 0.693460 0.964079 1.323726 1.781051 2.401631
2025-09-14 0.285127 0.438895 0.650465 0.957676 1.386150 1.955405 2.760161
2025-09-21 0.243589 0.399792 0.626201 0.970746 1.472463 2.165306 3.180443
2025-09-28 0.203506 0.355613 0.587495 0.956567 1.516359 2.317872 3.531799
2025-10-05 0.183725 0.339283 0.587120 0.997184 1.641203 2.591986 4.072619
2025-10-12 0.166546 0.324146 0.585905 1.034980 1.763367 2.869327 4.635804
2025-10-19 0.146709 0.301045 0.568264 1.043431 1.838873 3.080078 5.111680
2025-10-26 0.129070 0.278897 0.548985 1.046072 1.903616 3.276689 5.576342
2025-11-02 0.113794 0.258615 0.530088 1.046512 1.963295 3.467444 6.041563
2025-11-09 0.100251 0.239838 0.512030 1.047227 2.024712 3.667429 6.538709
2025-11-16 0.089064 0.224043 0.497525 1.052637 2.094345 3.885284 7.078576
2025-11-23 0.077812 0.206110 0.476417 1.043020 2.135609 4.057117 7.551508
2025-11-30 0.070592 0.195996 0.469719 1.060287 2.227006 4.320486 8.194352
2025-12-07 0.061798 0.180522 0.449674 1.048466 2.262043 4.485912 8.676337
2025-12-14 0.055906 0.171103 0.441423 1.059705 2.341814 4.735752 9.319770
2025-12-21 0.048777 0.157086 0.420936 1.042677 2.363910 4.880561 9.782234
2025-12-28 0.046262 0.155026 0.427788 1.085435 2.509367 5.263059 10.695956
2026-01-04 0.043757 0.152538 0.433264 1.125508 2.651953 5.647655 11.632162
2026-01-11 0.039776 0.144981 0.425340 1.134219 2.729271 5.910837 12.354304
2026-01-18 0.035923 0.137014 0.415294 1.136830 2.793432 6.151428 13.044945